Wednesday, 5 November 2008

Next bet

Arsenal v Fenerbahce: over 2.5 goals
£5 at 1.74

Arsenal's last two Champions League games have been 5-2 and 4-0 wins, the 5-2 one being away to Fenerbahce. So that's an average of 5.5 goals a game, or 4.3 goals a game if you include the 1-1 draw in Kiev as well.

If you look at Arsenal so far this season, there have been 60 goals in 17 competitive matches; that's 3.5 per game. If you take out the 4-4 against Spurs and the 6-0 against Sheffield Utd that's still 3.1 goals per game.

As for Fenerbahce, they have played three games since their 5-2 loss to Arsenal in which there have been 12 goals; so an average of 4 per game.

Asides from the mathematics, Fenerbahce coach Luis Aragones has said "''Our only aim is to beat Arsenal.... We want to progress, and in order to do that we need to win this match". So we can expect them to go for it; which should result in either some goals for the Turks or their defence being left exposed (or both).

On top of this, Wenger might field some of his younger squad members due to injuries to big players sustained at the weekend. Vela, Ramsey and co are very confident attacking players and I'll be surprised if there aren't a few goals tonight (at both ends perhaps).

2 comments:

Blogger said...

I blame you for tonights result!

Twentysomething said...

Sorry mate :-(